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A compressed argument for fast retrieval: situation, finding, and implication, in about five minutes.
View briefs →Timely analysis
Short and timely, tied to a live development: the mechanism behind it, and what leaders should do.
View dispatches →A Nation Richer Than It Feels
Americans have never been richer, healthier, or longer-lived. They have rarely felt worse about it.
The Capital Layer of Deterrence
The proposed Defense, Security and Resilience Bank shows how sovereign guarantees, capital markets, and industrial capacity are becoming the connective tissue of allied security.
Regime Change, Quietly
Kevin Warsh was installed to cut interest rates, but his first month at the Federal Reserve signaled something larger, and more disciplined.
Depth, Speed, Duration
Three shocks, three mechanisms, and why the next downturn will be measured against the wrong yardstick.
The Two Energy Superpowers
China and America are competing for the last mile.
Compound Learning and Decision Advantage
Strategic competition with China is a contest of institutional learning rates, not just a clash of platforms and inventories.
The New York Premium
A city moving more, growing safer, and becoming more expensive at the same time.
The Power Curve 2026 Outlook
2026 is the year of capability concentration, institutional drift, and the multi-pole order.
Uninsurable Map
Climate risk is moving from weather maps to balance sheets.
China's Magnet Monopoly
Rare-earth access turns ore into strategic leverage.
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