Research · Strategic Competition

Competition is decided upstream of conflict

How states, firms, and institutions build durable advantage through technology, industrial capacity, capital, and statecraft, and who can convert resources into power.

The Thesis

Advantage is structural, not episodic

Strategic competition is no longer separable from the structure of markets. Industrial capacity, compute, energy, capital access, logistics, and institutional execution increasingly determine which actors can turn ambition into operating capability.

The Power Curve studies competition at the level of mechanisms: how resources become capability, how constraints bind, and how the choices of governments, firms, and investors redistribute advantage. The focus is the durable structure beneath events.

  • Where capacity is concentrating
  • Which constraints are becoming binding
  • How statecraft reshapes position
  • Who can execute, and who cannot

Key Questions

What we study

  • Where are industrial and compute capacity concentrating, and who controls the inputs?
  • Which constraints (energy, capital, talent, supply chains) are becoming binding?
  • How are industrial policy and statecraft reshaping competitive position?
  • Who can convert resources into deployable capability, and who stalls at ambition?

Selected Research

Publications on strategic competition

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Regime Change, Quietly

Kevin Warsh was installed to cut interest rates, but his first month at the Federal Reserve signaled something larger, and more disciplined.

Jun 24, 2026 · 9 min read

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AI for Enterprise

Anthropic and OpenAI announce joint ventures with leading investors

May 5, 2026 · 1 min read

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